15 Central Park West, the ultra-luxury building that's home to Goldman Sachs' Lloyd Blankfein and Sting, among others, is a hard act to follow.
Acclaimed real estate author Michael Gross thinks another luxury tower, the much-hyped and still-under-construction One57, is going to have a hard time emulating 15 CPW's success.
"One57's marketing has clearly followed that of 15 Central Park West, but you're dealing with two different markets," said Gross, who wrote "740 Park Avenue: The Story of the World's Richest Apartment Building" and "Unreal Estate."
For one thing, 15 Central Park West, on the corner of West 61st Street and Central Park West, is set in a much more established residential neighborhood. It was always marketed as as "family building" and for "New Yorkers who lived here already," Gross said.
One57, on the other hand, is a few blocks to the south and east in a neighborhood that's not exactly known for its residential life. Buyers in this new glass building have admitted they plan to use it as a trophy home or crash pad when they are in Manhattan for business.
Foreign buyers have been dominating the New York luxury real estate market in the past couple years, and this is especially true in 15 Central Park West's re-sale market and for the first-time buyers at One57.
That's the main difference between 15 Central Park West and One57 right now: the type of first time buyers, according to Gross.
Gross acknowledged that it's hard to tell for sure what a new luxury building's story will be when it's still under construction, but it's hard not to pay attention to a building with so much hype.
"It's clear (Gary Barnett of Extell Development) is trying to take a past model and make it applicable to a new century," Gross said. "And to me that the fact that it is both modern and part of the continuum of luxury development in New York, That's what makes it fascinating."
Of course, it remains to be seen what effect the infamous "dangling crane" from Hurricane Sandy has on One57's construction timeline and prospective buyers. Forty percent of the building still needs to sell.